Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Germany. Show all posts

Sunday, December 4, 2011

Tournament Seeding and the Need for a Fix

With the increased globalization of the game, major tournaments are heading to new lands. Austria and Switzerland hosted Euro 2008, with next year's event heading to Poland and Ukraine. Last year South Africa staged the World Cup with Russia and Qatar on the horizon. While I'm all for spreading the game around the globe (aside for whatever shadiness helped Qatar land the 2022 World Cup), this trend presents a flaw with regards to tournament seeding.

Tournament hosts automatically qualify, which makes perfect sense. If you're hosting a party, you're obviously getting a seat at the table. For countries such as Austria, South Africa and Qatar, this means a rare chance to compete. For the likes of Russia and Poland, it guarantees entry into an event where sometimes they qualify and sometimes they don't. But I think it's absurd that, when it comes time for the draw, the qualifying hosts are further rewarded with unjustified one seeds that throw off the balance of the opening round.

Take last Friday's Euro 2012 draw as an example. The pre-dertermined one seeds were Spain and Netherlands (certainly deserving) along with co-hosts Poland and Ukraine. Instead of one seeds going to, say Germany and Portugal, those two teams ended up in the Group of Death, Group B, with Holland. Where's the fairness there?

Of course, the potential for a Group of Death adds excitement to the draw and creates better opening round matches. But consider that from the trio of Holland, Germany and Portugal, at least one side will miss the knockout round, while among Russia, Greece and Poland, at least one will advance. The quarterfinals get watered down when teams aren't slotted properly.

Although co-hosts double the problem, at least the 16-team Euro field is deep enough to make this less of an issue. But in the World Cup, where there's a large gap between the contenders and the countries that are just happy to be there, giving a one seed to a South Africa or Qatar is absurd. We still have 10 years until Qatar hosts a World Cup. Let's hope there's a change to the seeding system before then.

And with that post, I'm proud to say that I wrote at least one in 2011, one day shy of the anniversary of my last post. Time and energy for blogging are in short supply these days, but I'm determined not to totally abandon my humble Soccer Haus. If you made it this far, thanks for reading!

Tuesday, July 6, 2010

World Cup 2010: Spain-Germany Semifinal Preview

Two years after they clashed in the Final of Euro 2008, Spain and Germany meet in Durban in the World Cup semifinals. The winner earns a date with Holland in Sunday's Final. Not since the Soviet Union faced Yugoslavia in the 1962 group stages have the two finalists from a European Championship met at the subsequent World Cup.

Germany's World Cup started with a blast in a 4-0 win over Australia. After splitting a pair of 1-0 matches, a loss to Serbia and win over Ghana, the goal scoring onslaught returned in the knockout round. A 4-1 win over England came with a twinge of controversy, but there was noting to detract from a 4-0 quarterfinal thrashing of previously unbeaten Argentina. While Germany have been romping, Spain have been squeaking through the knockout stages. After losing their opener to Switzerland, Spain have won four-straight, including twin 1-0 victories over Portugal and Paraguay.

The World Cup stage has again brought out the best from Miroslav Klose, who now has 14 goals in three World Cups. Germany will be without Thomas Muller, suspended after picking up an absurd yellow card on a hand ball call against Argentina. Muller has four goals and three assists in the tournament. In Mueller's absence, lanky youngster Mesut Ozil will be counted on to team with Klose and Lukas Podolski to lead Germany's charge.

There's not much more David Villa could do to help the Spanish cause; he has scored five of the team's six goals in the World Cup. Spain's other key playmaker has been Andres Iniesta, whose determined attacks have kept opponents back pedaling. Critical saves in the second half against Paraguay from Iker Casillas, including a PK stop when the game was scoreless, gives La Furia Roja supreme confidence in their captain and goal keeper.

Spain will want no part of a penalty kick shootout. While Germany is well known for their spot kick success at the World Cup, Villa and Xabi Alonso have missed Spain's two attempts in this tournament. This match is full of potential, but Germany are definitely the squad playing at the higher level. Off they go to their seventh final in the last 10 World Cups.

Prediction: Germany 2, Spain 1

Friday, July 2, 2010

World Cup 2010: Quarterfinals Preview- July 3

Can the second set of quarterfinals equal the drama of Friday's games? One match has the making of a classic, the other a mismatch. Time to play.

Argentina vs. Germany
Arguably the world's best intercontinental rivalry, Argentina and Germany meet in the knockout stages for the fourth time in the last seven World Cups. They traded Finals victories in 1986 and 1990; Maradona's side winning a classic in '86, with the Germans capturing an ugly affair four years later. In 2006 the Germans won a quarterfinal match in Berlin, prevailing in a shootout after a 1-1 draw.

The depth of the Argentine side is reflected in the fact that they've cruised to four convincing wins without a goal from their best player. But while Lionel Messi has been kept off the scoresheet, he's done plenty to set-up teammates Gonzalo HiguaĆ­n and Carlos Tevez. While Tevez's first goal against Mexico was suspect, his second was pure class.

Germany took advantage of a blown call and lots of blown defending to romp past England, 4-1. Germany's side is the perfect blend of experience and youth. Lukas Podolski and Miroslav Klose provide the World Cup pedigree, while Thomas Muller and Mesut Ozil are the team's talented young guns.

There has been no shortage of head games in the build-up to this match. Argentina have yet to face adversity in the tournament. If they fall behind, how will they respond? (See Brazil as an example of how not to rally.) Germany won't find the stroll through the Argentine defense as easy as it was against England, but as the more disciplined of the two sides, they're better suited mentally for a tight contest.

Prediction: Germany 2, Argentina 1

Spain vs. Paraguay
With Brazil heading home, Spain assume the role of tournament favorites, and a match-up with Paraguay should be little more than a speed bump. David Villa continues to impress, scoring four of Spain's five goals, including the lone tally in the win over Portugal. Sergio Busquets helped Spain control the midfield against Portugal, connecting on 95 percent of his passes. While Iker Casillas has been rarely tested, the European champs know they can count on one of the world's best goalkeepers.

Paraguay's Round of 16 scoreless draw with Japan was the lone stinker in the second round. Somehow a team that hasn't scored in its last two games finds itself among the last six teams alive at the World Cup. If Paraguay are to have any chance of pulling off the upset, they'll need to follow the Swiss model from earlier in the tournament- furious defending and capitalizing on the counter-attack. I don't see it happening.

Prediction: Spain 3, Paraguay 0

Sunday, June 27, 2010

World Cup 2010: Round of 16 Previews- June 27

England vs. Germany
Here we go again. A rivalry that needs no hype, the latest edition pits a veteran English side against Joachim Low's youthful German squad. England stumbled through Group C, posting a win and two draws but scoring only twice to finish second. Fans of the Three Lions hope their best game is still to come. Wayne Rooney will need to emerge as a scoring threat to make that a reality.

Germany throttled Australia 4-0 in their opener before a pair of 1-0 matches, a loss to Serbia and a win over Ghana, advanced them as winners of Group D. Mesut Ozil has emerged as the team's newest star, scoring the game-winner against Ghana. 2006 heroes Lukas Podolski and Miroslav Klose, back from a red card suspension, are again the focal points for Germany.

Predicting England to lose in a shootout would be downright cruel, so I'll take the Germans in regulation.

Prediction: Germany 2, England 1

Argentina vs. Mexico
Argentina and Mexico meet in the Round of 16 for the second-straight World Cup. Four years ago Maxi Rodriguez's sublime strike in extra time gave the Argentines a 2-1 win. Diego Maradona's swashbuckling squad was one of only two squads to go 3-0 in the group stages, posting wins over Nigeria, South Korea and Greece to win Group B. Lionel Messi has played the role of distributor thus far; he's yet to score, but has set up the likes of Gonzalo Higuain, who had a hat trick against South Korea.

Mexico tinkered with various line-ups in going 1-1-1 in Group A play. Their best effort was a 2-0 win over the French, the only time you'll see "best effort" and "French" in the same sentence. Giovani Dos Santos will be counted on to help El Tri match their opponents' firepower.

Prediction: Argentina 3, Mexico 1

Monday, June 21, 2010

World Cup 2010: Breaking Down the Groups- Part 1

32 group stage games down, 16 to go. As we head into round three of matches, 30 of 32 teams still have a chance to reach the knockout stages. Those teams range from a 2-0 side in precarious position to an 0-2 side with a very realistic chance to advance. Let's breakdown the scenarios and my predictions, starting with Groups A-D.

Group A
Standings: Uruguay- 4 points, +3 goal differential; Mexico- 4 pts., +2; France- 1 pt., -2; South Africa- 1pt., -3
Match-ups: Uruguay vs. Mexico; South Africa vs. France
The situation: Uruguay are part of the South American juggernaut that has eight wins and two draws in ten matches. Diego Forlan is one of the emerging stars of the Cup with two goals in the win over South Africa. While a draw guarantees both sides advance, Mexico will want to avoid a second round meeting with Argentina, so look for El Tri to go on the attack. If there's any justice, the French collection of prima donnas will get blasted by South Africa. The hosts will likely miss the knockout stages, but a well-deserved win would allow them to finish on a high,
Prediction: Mexico wins to top the group as Uruguay holds on to second.

Group B
Standings: Argentina- 6 pts.; +4; South Korea- 3 pts.; -1; Greece- 3 pts., -1; Nigeria- 0 pts., -2
Match-ups: Argentina vs. Greece; South Korea vs. Nigeria
The situation: 0-2 may seem like a bleak position, but Nigeria are surprisingly in good shape to advance. A win over South Korea coupled with a Greece loss to Argentina will see three teams tie for second at 1-2. Regardless of the scores on Tuesday, Nigeria are ensured of winning the goal differential tie-breaker. Argentina need only a draw to lock-up the top spot, and it's hard to see them failing to capture a point.
Prediction: Argentina take first and Nigeria sneak in behind them.

Group C
Standings: Slovenia- 4 pts., +1; USA- 2 pts., E; England- 2 pts. E, Algeria- 1 pt., -1
Match-ups: Slovenia vs. England; USA vs. Algeria
The situation: It's win and advance for Slovenia, the U.S. and England, while Algeria needs a win and some help from England to move on. Oddly the fourth-place side is the only one entering their match on a positive note. Slovenia coughed up a two-goal lead to the U.S., a match the Americans left thinking they should have won. Meanwhile England are just grateful that the French are in town, otherwise they'd be the poster children for team disharmony and underachievement.
Prediction: A pair of 2-0 wins sees the U.S. and England advance, with the States topping the group on the second tiebreaker, goals scored.

Group D
Standings: Ghana 4 pts., +1; Germany 3 pts., +3; Serbia 3 pts., E; Australia 1 pt. -4
Match-ups: Ghana vs. Germany; Serbia vs. Australia
The situation: A quick look at the standings, and you'd say Group D leaders Ghana are Africa's best hope of reaching the knockout stages. They might, however, face a tougher task than winless Nigeria. The Black Stars will need at least a point against Germany to ensure passage. If they lose, Serbia will pass them with a win over Australia. While a win advances any of the top three teams, only Ghana are assured of moving on with a draw. Australia needs to show that it can play without getting a star player red carded, following the dismissals of Tim Cahill and Harry Kewell in their first two matches.
Prediction: Germany plays like, well, Germany and gets the win to put them on top of the group. Serbia join them in the second round.

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

World Cup 2010: What We've Seen So Far

With one round plus one game of the group stages complete, it's a good time to take a look at South Africa 2010. While the buzz of the vuvuzleas and the lack of scoring have dominated the conversation, a number of other compelling story lines are emerging.

South America is deep: Brazil and Argentina always grab the headlines, but this year's teams from South America are as talented as any in recent memory. Paraguay showed their grit in a 1-1 draw with Italy, while the skills of Diego Forlan earned Uruguay four points in their first two matches. Throw in Chile's win against Honduras, and the CONMEBOL teams have four wins and two draws in six matches.

Something crazy could go down in Group H: Since 1986, when the World Cup adopted the current group stage followed by 16-team bracket format, five points has always been enough to get a team to the knockout phases. Following Switzerland's upset of Spain, there's a strong possibility that a team with six points could be KOed. If Spain wins its next two matches (vs. Chile and Honduras) and Switzerland tops Honduras but then falls to Chile, Spain, Switzerland and Chile will all be level on points. It may come down to who puts the biggest thumping on poor Honduras.

African sides are headed for disappointment: Despite strong local support, the tournament has not started well for the African teams, with Ghana's win over Serbia the lone victory in seven tries. The home team kicked off the tournament with a flourish, but Bafana Bafana failed to seal a win against Mexico, and their 3-0 loss to Uruguay all but assured they'll be the first hosts not to advance past round one. Ivory Coast's 0-0 draw against Portugal was one of the tournament's letdown matches.

Strikers are struggling: Is it the infamous Jabulani ball? Is it the altitude? Perhaps a little of both. Regardless, the goal scoring fireworks have been in short supply in South Africa, with an alarming number of corner kicks and set pieces sailing well off the mark. Only the bumbling goalkeeping has offset an offensively challenged tournament.

A 1-0 match can be a thriller: While the lack of scoring brings out the soccer cynics, Switzerland and Spain proved you don't need goals galore to entertain. Switzerland's stunning goal turned what looked like a one-sided contest into the tournament's most exciting match so far. Anytime the underdog takes a lead and scraps to hold on, we see the game at its best. With both teams striking the post late in the match, these two European sides held our attention.

Germany's 4-0 win gives us a good World Cup conspiracy theory: In the first round of games, only one team cracked three goals, let alone four. The theory? The Germans had more time to practice with the Jabulani ball made by Adidas, a company based in... wait for it... Germany! Never mind the fact that Germany doubled the scoreline once Australia's top offensive threat, Tim Cahill, was shown the red card.

USA are looking A.O.K.: Earning a point against England was important not for the historical significance, but for how it sets Bob Bradley's team up for the next two games. A win and a draw against Slovenia and Algeria would give the U.S. five points and should see them through to the next round. (Although there's a scenario where they could be left out in a three-way tie). But the States should aim higher; if they can win the group, they'll dodge Germany in the Round of 16. Expect the U.S. to play an attacking style in the hopes of winning both matches and topping England on goal differential.

Sunday, June 6, 2010

World Cup 2010: Group D Preview

Group D shapes up as another pool with a clear-cut favorite and three teams that will vie for the second spot. Germany are by all accounts the class of the group, but second place could fall to Australia, Ghana or Serbia, three sides returning for a second-straight World Cup. Here's a breakdown of the group.

Goalkeeping has been the trademark of recent World Cup success for Germany, with Oliver Kahn in 2002 and Jens Lehman four years ago. This year youthful Manuel Neuer (that's right Seinfeld fans, it's Ma Neuer!) mans the net, fresh off a second-place finish in the Bundesliga with Schalke. Miroslav Klose and Lukas Podolski will be asked to resurrect the form they showed in Germany's third-place finish in 2006. While the Germans will miss injured captain Michael Ballack, they should still win the group.

Another team missing a key player are Ghana, who will have to cope without midfielder Michael Essien. Kevin Prince-Boateng will be an interesting storyline. The German-born midfielder earned the ire of fans there when his challenge on Ballack in the FA Cup caused the injury that will keep Ballack out of the World Cup. Serbian born coach Milovan Rajevac should provide insights on one of the teams the Black Stars will battle for the group's second spot.

Four years ago, the Socceroos escaped the group stages and only a dubious late penalty against Italy ended their tournament run. Can Australia find the second round again? Their unbeaten efforts in their first trip through the Asian qualification process provides hope. Everton's Tim Cahill has a knack for scoring off of set pieces, while veteran keeper Mark Schwarzer arrives on the heels of a trip to the Europa League final. Australia won't have the managerial magic of Guus Hiddink this time around, but they are lead by his protege, Pim Verbeek.

Serbia will be looking to improve on their 2006 World Cup trip when, as Serbia & Montenegro, they lost three matches, including a 6-0 drubbing by Argentina. No Serb arrives with more confidence than captain Dejan Stankovic, a member of Inter Milan's Champions League and treble winners. A pair of rugged Premier League defenders anchor the defense with Manchester United's Nemanja Vidic and Chelsea's Branislav Ivanovic.

Predication: Top to bottom, this could be the tournament's strongest group. Germany are by no means a lock, but should finish ahead of Ghana, who will ride the home-continent support into the round of 16.

Friday, December 4, 2009

World Cup Draw Winners and Losers


The field is set for South Africa 2010. With the unique drama of today's World Cup draw complete, here's my take on the winners and losers.

Winner- USA: Most pundits will pick the US to advance from Group C. England are obviously the group favorites, but with Algeria, the last qualifier from Africa, and Slovenia, one of Europe's surprise entries rounding out the group, Bob Bradley's men have a clear path to the knockout stages.

Loser- South Africa: While the hosts got the benefit of a one seed, that distinction was negated by drawing France, a side many saw as worthy of the top row. With Mexico and Uruguay also in Group A, the home side will struggle to advance.

Winner- Germany: Germany's advantage isn't so much their manageable group, which includes Australia, Serbia and Ghana, but in the way the knockout stages shape-up. Italy, Holland, Brazil, Portugal and Spain all reside on the opposite side of the bracket, meaning Germany would avoid those top sides until at least the semifinals.

Loser- Ivory Coast: Four years ago Didier Drogba and crew landed in the Group of Death, with their first two matches against Argentina and Holland. The 2010 draw did them no favors either, with Brazil and Portugal in the mix. They may be eliminated at 0-2 by the time they face a beatable North Korean side.

Winner- Charlize Theron: A gorgeous addition to the dais, Theron hasn't looked this good since the movie Reindeer Games. Let's hope we see more of the South African native come next June.

Loser- David Beckham: Beckham's inclusion on stage was odd, given his checkered history at the World Cup. I suppose he was up there for his celebrity status and boyish good looks. That's fine, but if you're playing the role of eye candy, don't show up with a mohawk.

Winner- Spain: The reigning European champs cruised through qualifying with a perfect mark. That record should continue in a group that includes lightly regarded Switzerland, Chile and Honduras.

Loser- Korea: Both North and South landed in the two toughest groups. South Korea are joined by Argentina, Nigeria and Greece in Group B, while their Northern neighbors face Brazil, Ivory Coast and Portugal in Group G.

Winner- Ticket scalpers: The highest demand for tickets during the initial sales period came from the US and England. The brokers will make a pretty penny when those two sides meet on June 12.

Loser- Attendees at my brother's wedding: Unfortunately that USA-England match kicks off one hour before my brother is slated to get married. He still has six months to alter the schedule.

Sunday, May 31, 2009

World Cup 2010: Checking in on UEFA Qualifying

With the club season over, the summer attention turns to qualifying for next year's World Cup. With most nations just past the halfway mark, the race for Europe's 13 slots in South Africa 2010 is taking shape. Nine group winners qualify automatically, while the top eight runners-up will enter four two-legged playoffs for the remaining slots. Here's a look at how the groups stand.

Group 1: Portugal has been one of the biggest disappointments to date, with just one win in five matches. Portugal trails both Denmark and Hungary by seven points, although Portugal does have a game in-hand on the Hungarians. Sweden, with the fewest games played, is also in the mix. Portugal's September 5 trip to Denmark will be a key fixture.

Group 2: The weakest of the nine groups, Greece and Switzerland top the table, three points ahead of Latvia. The Greeks travel to Switzerland on September 5.

Group 3: Northern Ireland are one of the biggest surprises, topping the table with 13 points, but they've played two more matches than second-place Slovakia, which has 12. Poland (10 points in six matches) will also view for top honors. With only eight points through six matches, the favored Czech Republic has work to do.

Group 4: Germany appear in comfortable position with 16 points in six matches. Russia, with 12 points in five matches, should be able to hold off Finland (seven points, four matches played) for second.

Group 5: European champions Spain are perfect in six matches, the best mark of any of the 53 qualifiers. While Bosnia-Herzegovina trail by six points, they're positioned well to take second, four points ahead of Turkey.


Group 6: English fans are giddy over the 15 points in five matches earned by Fabio Capello's men. Croatia and Urkraine will battle for second, with the Croats hosting a June 6 meeting.

Group 7: Serbia are another surprise group leader, two points ahead of 2006 runners-up France. The Serbs are in good shape with two of their next three at home, including a September 9 visit by Les Blues.

Group 8: Despite a home draw to Ireland in their most recent match, Italy are poised to defend their 2006 title. The Irish have yet to lose in six matches, leading third-place by Bulgaria by five points.

Group 9: Holland join Spain and England as the only sides with unblemished marks, and they have more than double the points of second place Scotland (15-7).

Predicted group winners: Denmark, Switzerland, Slovakia, Germany, Spain, England, France, Italy, Holland
Predicted playoff qualifiers: Portugal, Greece, Poland, Russia, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Ireland

Sunday, June 29, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Spain-Germany Recap

Campeones! Campeones! Ole, Ole Ole!

I just woke up from a lengthy siesta after a raucous afternoon at The Globe Pub on Chicago's North Side. A packed house, pretty well split in their allegiances, joined millions around the word in watching Spain claim a 1-0 win over Germany for their first European crown since 1964. Spain completely dominated the contest, but because they failed to bury the Germans, the game remained a tense affair. Spain had half a dozen prime scoring chances, but Fernando Torres' brilliant 33rd minute strike was the game's only tally.

As a Liverpool fan, I'm delighted for Torres, whose winning goal erases all the memories of a frustrating tournament. Torres, who minutes earlier had headed a cross firmly off the left post, used his strength and speed to maneuver around Philipp Lahm before deftly chipping the ball over an incoming Jens Lehmann for the winner.

You figured Germany would offer a determined counter-attack late in the game, but Iker Casillas and the Spanish defense were rarely tested on the night. Germany managed only four shots compared to Spain's 14.

So a fantastic Euro 2008 has come to a close- a tournament as exciting as any in my lifetime. We'll remember the rollicking group stage performances by Holland, the never-say-die Turks, the grit of captain Michael Ballack and Germany, and most of all, the offensive excitement generated by Spain- campeones for 2008.

Saturday, June 28, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Ballack Buster

The big news on the eve of the Euro 2008 Final is the right calf injury that may keep Germany captain Michael Ballack out of tomorrow's game. The talk out of the Germany camp is that Ballack is day-to-day, and a decision on his fitness will be made tomorrow. Looks like it could be a situation where either he starts and Germany are prepared to sub him out early if the calf doesn't respond, or he comes off the bench.

Regardless of who you're pulling for, you have to hope Ballack gets the opportunity to play tomorrow. Six years ago he was suspended for Germany's World Cup Final match against Brazil. It would be a shame if the classy veteran missed out on another Final appearance.

UEFA Euro 2008: Germany-Spain Preview

"I like you Spaniard. I shall cheer for you." -Gladiator

Spain and Germany will close a highly-memorable tournament when they meet in the Euro 2008 Final in Vienna Sunday. Spain is seeking just their second major championship- they won the 1964 Euros on home soil. Since that time, Germany (and West Germany before them) have won three Euros and two World Cups. Let's take a look at both sides before picking a winner.

Germany
The Germans entered Euro 2008 as favorites, and somehow they've reached the Final without producing victories that convince you they deserve that status. Their most complete effort was their 2-0 win in the opener against Poland, highlighted by a pair of Lukas Podolski goals. Since that time they lost to Croatia 2-1, and looked flat in a 1-0 win over Austria. In the knockout round they posted a pair of 3-2 wins over Portugal and Turkey in which they dazzled offensively, but looked shaky in their own end.

With four players who have at least two goals in this tournament- Podolski, Michael Ballack, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Miroslav Klose- offense is hardly an area of concern for Joachim Loew. If Germany are to win the title, the man of the match will have to be goalkeeper Jens Lehmann. Is Lehmann still capable of the performances he showed at the 2006 World Cup? If he lets in questionable goals like those he surrendered against Turkey, Germany have no chance. But German nerve is always tough to top in a tight match, so if Lehmann keeps his side in the game, Germany have the horses to win.

Spain
For most sides, the loss of the tournament's leading scorer for the Final would be a disaster. But it's a reflection of the depth of Luis Aragones' team that David Villa's absence should pose few problems for Spain. All the pressure was on Spain in the quarterfinals due to their frequent struggles at that stage and against Italy. Having finally reached the semis, Spain looked far more confident and relaxed against Russia. Expect that confidence to carry over Sunday.

One of Spain's top players has been a man who wasn't even starting, Cesc Fabregas. That changes Sunday as the Arsenal playmaker will join the starting XI in place of Villa. Fabregas was criticized before Euro '08 for failing to replicate his form from the club level. That hoodoo has now fallen on Liverpool striker Fernando Torres, who has only one goal and has been substituted out for David Guiza in both knockout round matches. Torres will be the lone man up front Sunday and can erase all the memories of a rough three weeks with a goal in a victorious Final. With a wealth of talented midfielders supporting him, expect Torres to deliver.

In goal, Iker Casillas has very quietly become a dominant force in this tournament. He's posted back-to-back clean sheets in the knockout round, including two PK saves in the shootout win over Italy.

The venue: Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna, Austria
The broadcast: ABC, 2:45 pm ET
The prediction: This is Spain's time (or tiempo de Espana, if you prefer). A 1-1 game at the half goes the Spaniards way in the second, and they take the championship with a 3-1 victory.

Wednesday, June 25, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Germany-Turkey Recap

Just when you thought you'd seen it all with Turkey, you saw...well, you didn't see much in the second half thanks to some ill-timed lightning at the International Broadcast Center in Vienna. Unfortunately the broadcast of a thrilling 3-2 win by Germany over a relentless Turkish side was marred by technical difficulties. Before you jump all over ESPN, keep in mind that viewers worldwide experienced the same issues with only the domestic Swiss feed and, inexplicably, the Al-Jazeera broadcast reaching viewers uninterrupted.

As for the game, I owe an apology to the Turks. I figured with a depleted squad they'd try and play the Germans to a scoreless draw. But they never deviated from the entertaining, attacking style that made them the darlings of the tournament. That attacking style also was their undoing tonight. After both Turkish goals, Germany responded within five minutes, including Philip Lahm's rocket winner in the 90th minute, four minutes after Semih Senturk had leveled the game at 2-2.

The game winner was vindication for Lahm, who was beaten badly on the wing much of the night. Lahm also should have earned a penalty kick early in the second half on a clear Turkish foul. Jens Lehmann was iffy in goal for Germany, but somehow the Germans have given up two goals each of their two knockout round games and are still through to the Final. Credit their dynamic offensive for outscoring their shaky defense.

So the dream ends for Turkey, but they earned plenty of fans along the way. Their last three games were as thrilling as any trio you'll see in a major tournament. Unfortunately for them, they were on the wrong end of the scoreline in their final game. For Germany, it's on to Sunday's final against either Spain or Russia.

Tuesday, June 24, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Germany-Turkey Preview

Turkey faces Germany in the first semifinal from Basel. While Turkey's Cinderella run has been highlighted by some of the greatest finishes in tournament history, a combination of injuries and yellow cards have sapped the squad. We're now left with a Saturday-after-Thanksgiving Turkey; the kind that's not only been served for dinner, but was used the next day for sandwiches, and now just has a few pieces of meat clinging to the carcass. Get the picture?

So with no Arda Turan, no Nihat Kahveci, no Emre Asik and no Volkan Demirel, how are the Turks suppose to pull this off? Their best option may be to play for a 0-0 and take the match to shootout. But history shows you don't want a piece of the Germans in a shootout. So if Turkey wins, it will be their biggest miracle to date.

Germany has gone from tournament favorites to looking vulnerable to back to favorites. Their convincing 3-2 win over Portugal erased any doubts from their mediocre showing in the group stages. Offensively, Germany has been the tournament's most diverse team, with Michael Ballack, Bastian Schweinsteiger, Lukas Podolski and Miroslav Klose all making major contributions.

The venue: St. Jakob Park, Basel, Switzerland
The broadcast: ESPN, 2:45 pm ET
The prediction: Turkey will have to take a grind-it-out approach, but Germany have shown an ability to overcome the likes of Poland and Austria who employed a similar strategy. The Germans get a 1-0 win to advance to the Final.

UEFA Euro 2008: A Funny Thing About The Turks

Under the category of "You learn something new everyday," the largest ethnic minority in Germany is, you guessed it, Turks. Three percent of the German population has Turkish origins, which should make for some interesting scenes back in Deutschland tomorrow night.

Thursday, June 19, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Germany-Portugal Recap

The Germans picked the right time to play their best game of Euro 2008. First-half goals from Bastian Schweinsteiger and Miroslav Klose staked Germany to a 2-0 lead and Michael Ballack grabbed the game winner for the second-straight game as Germany defeated Portugal 3-2. Germany advances to next Wednesday's semifinal against either Croatia or Turkey.

Portugal doubled up Germany in shots (21-10) and shots on goal (10-5), but the quality of German finishing was the decisive factor. The best example came 20 minutes into the game when a well-delivered cross by Jose Bosingwa was clumsily handled by Joao Moutinho in the box. Moments later, Lukas Podolski was charing in the opposite direction, delivering a low cross to Schweinsteiger who buried the game's first goal. With Podolski, Schweinsteiger, Klose and Ballack all contributing to scoring plays, Germany have re-established themselves as a tournament favorite.

Portugal's Euro 2008 campaign will be remembered for the distractions that surrounded the team all month. It's rarely beneficial to have your head coach accept a high profile club job in the middle of the tournament, while rumors swirl about the future plans of your star player. Portugal will of course deny that the situations involving Scolari and Ronaldo contributed to their early exit, yet it will remain the legacy of this Portuguese side.

For Germany they'll enjoy a much needed five-day break before returning to Basel to face either Croatia, who defeated then 2-1 in the group stages, or Turkey.

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Portugal-Germany Preview

Portugal and Germany get the quarterfinals underway Thursday in Basel. The Portuguese enter with a huge advantage in terms of rest. Having wrapped up Group A last Wednesday, Portugal rested the majority of their starters in a meaningless 2-0 loss to Switzerland. Germany needed a win against Austria Monday to secure advancement and arrive with only two days off.

With Lukas Podolski and Torsten Frings already banged up, conditioning will be a major concern for the Germans. One player who will have the benefit of some rest is Bastian Schweinsteiger, who was suspended for Germany's last game after picking up a red card against Croatia. Schweinsteiger scored two goals when these sides last met, a 3-1 win for Germany in the 2006 World Cup third place game.

German coach Joachim Low will watch another game from the stands after UEFA added a one-game touchline ban to his ejection Monday night. Based on what transpired against Austria, this seemes excessive. Everyone in the German camp agrees with me.

While Cristinao Ronaldo is always the focus for Portugal, the squad has seen a variety of contributors in this tournament, with their five goals coming from five different players. Midfield leader Deco, who has one of the goals, will be pitted against Michael Ballack, two players who may be wearing the same shade of Chelsea blue come August.

The venue: St. Jakob Park, Basel, Switzerland
The broadcast: ESPN, 2:45 pm ET
The prediction: Germany's campaign has looked shaky and with Portugal rested and ready, Scolari's men move on to the semis with a 2-1 win.

Monday, June 16, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Day 10 Recap

Germany 1, Austria 0
Croatia 1, Poland


It wasn't the beautiful advertisement for soccer that yesterday's Turkey-Czech Republic game was, but Germany secured the result they needed with a 1-0 win over Austria to advance to the quarterfinals. It's the first quarterfinal berth for Germany since they won Euro '96. Michael Ballack's rocket free kick n the 49th minute was the game's only goal, with the most intriguing moments coming on the sideline.

Late in the first half, Austria coach Josef Hickersberger and his German counterpart, Joachim Low, were both sent to the stands by referee Manuel Enrique Mejuto Gonzalez. The bickering between the two seemed rather innocent, but off they went, leaving Low to talk shop with German chancellor Angela Merkel.

In Klagenfurt, Ivan Klasnic's 52nd minute tally pushed Croatia to 3-0-0 and ended Poland's tournament, as the Croats won 1-0.

It's on to the quarters for Croatia and Germany. Germany will meet Portugal in Basle Thursday, while Croatia head to Vienna to face Turkey on Friday.

Sunday, June 15, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Day 10 Previews

Group B wraps up with Croatia, who face Poland, already locked into the top slot. Germany, Austria and the Poles all still have a shot at second.

Austria vs. Germany
The venue: Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna, Austria
The broadcast: ESPN, 2:45 pm ET
The storyline: Germany only need a draw to ensure qualification for the quarterfinals and a date with Portugal. The Austrians will look for a repeat of their finest moment- an upset of West Germany at the 1978 World Cup that knocked the defending champs out of the tournament. If Austria win, they'll advance, provided they maintain their one-goal differential advantage over Poland.
The prediction: There will be no miracles this time. The Germans will advance with an efficient 2-0 victory.

Croatia vs. Poland
The venue: Worthersee Stadion, Klagenfurt, Austria
The broadcast: ESPN Classic, 2:45 pm ET
The storyline: Poland need a lot to go right in order to advance, but they do have the advantage of playing a Croatia squad that will rest key players. To advance to the quarters, Poland need a win, an Austria win over Germany, while overcoming the goal differential tiebreaker that they currently trail by one versus Austria. That's asking a lot.
The prediction: Poland are fighting mad, feeling they were jobbed by a late penalty against Austria. They'll take out their frustrations with a 2-0 win over Croatia's B team, but it won't be enough to advance.

Thursday, June 12, 2008

UEFA Euro 2008: Day 6 Recap

Croatia 2, Germany 1
Austria 1, Poland 1


The calendar may read 2008, but it must have felt like 1998 for Croatia and their fans as they upset Germany 2-1 to seize control of Group B and book a spot in the quarterfinals. In their biggest win since defeating the Germans in the 1998 World Cup quarters, Croatia showed a spark not seen in their opening match win over Austria. A perfectly-timed cross to Darijo Srna put the Croats ahead in the 24th minute for a 1-0 halftime lead. In the 63rd minute, Ivica Olic followed up on a deflected shot off the post for the eventual winner. Although Lukas Podolski halved the lead in the 78th minute, a late red card to Bastian Schweinsteiger ended hopes of a German comeback.

The result significantly impacts the top half of the tournament. The presumed Portugal-Germany semifinal is off; those two sides will most likely meet in the quarters. Portugal will have the advantage not only of an extra day's off, but the ability to rest players as, unlike Germany, their final group game will be meaningless. Croatia, as group winners, await the Czech Republic-Turkey winner.

In the nightcap, Austria earned a stoppage time penalty kick to escape with a 1-1 draw with Poland. The result means both sides retain slim hopes of reaching the quarterfinals. In one respect, a tie was a just ending as both goals were controversial. Poland's 30th minute tally came from Roger Guerreiro. who was in an offsides position when Marek Saganowski's cross entered the box. In second half stoppage time, Mariusz Lewandowski was cited for hauling down Sebastian Proedl on an iffy call. Ivica Vastic blasted home the PK to tie the score.

Group B concludes next Monday. Germany will need only a draw against Austria to secure second in the group. Poland will face Croatia, needing a win to have any hope of reaching the quarters.